Global Energy Futures Modelling: Making Sense Out of Chaos

Lewis Fulton, Institute for Transportation Studies, University of California, Davis

Friday, April 25, 2014, 3:30pm

Spanos Auditorium

This seminar is part of the Jones Seminars on Science, Technology, and Society series.

In order to contain climate change to 2 degrees C of warming, it will be necessary for the global energy system to be completely decarbonized by the second half of this century. Is this possible? What are the issues and uncertainties in projecting this far into the future? What methodologies exist, what key assumptions must be made? This talk will explore these questions with a particular emphasis on the transport sector, considering technologies and behavioral aspects, and implications of modelling work to date, with reference to work by UC Davis, the International Energy Agency, and the newly released IPCC AR5 report, all of which the author has been involved in.

About the Speaker

Lewis Fulton has worked internationally in the field of transport/energy/environment analysis and policy development for over 20 years. He is Co-Director of the NextSTEPS Program within the Institute of Transportation Studies at the University of California, Davis. There he leads a range of research activities around new vehicle technologies and new fuels. He is also a lead author on the IPCC 5th Assessment Report, Mitigation (transport chapter). From 2007-2012 he was a Senior Transport Specialist with the International Energy Agency, Paris, as well as Division Head for Energy Technology Policy during 2011-2012. He returned to the IEA in 2007 after working there originally from 1999-2005. During 2006-2007 he worked in Kenya with the UN Environment Program, developing and implementing GEF-funded sustainable transport projects around the world. During the 1990s he also worked at the US Department of Energy for 4 years, and taught at the Independent University of Bangladesh and the University of Maryland. His IEA reports include Transport, Energy and CO2: Moving Toward Sustainability (2009), Saving Oil in a Hurry (2005), Biofuels for Transport: An International Perspective (2004), and Bus Systems for the Future (2002). He received his Ph.D. in Energy Management and Environmental Policy from the University of Pennsylvania in the United States in 1994.